LSU vs Florida NCAAF Pick – Week 7
LSU Tigers and the Florida Gators both come with announcement successes into this Saturdays game.
LSU went to Texas and defeat the Longhorns. The Gators stifled then-No. 7 Auburn at the Swamp weekend. But in this weeks matchup in Death Valley, both teams seem to take over a place in the race to College Football Playoff.
The defense of florida leads the way for them. They have given up the 8th-fewest offensive touchdowns (5), and also havent given up a point from the 4th quarter because their opener. They flustered Auburn QB Bo Nix into creating poor decisions as he went 11 for 27 with three INTs.
However, Joe Burrow is not Nix. He is a seasoned quarterback and has led LSU to the offensive start in SEC history. Theyve averaged 54.6 points-per-game, the most in college football. This includes the 45 they dropped on the street on Texas.
Together with the roar of Death Valley the Gators come in as underdogs around BetNow. Does the No. cover the spread and 5 shield keep this close? Or will Burrow and also the No. 2 passing offense keep rolling and win the wager? Heres the complete breakdown.
There is very little doubt in the ability of Burrow . Hes converted to a Heisman candidate, obtaining an immaculate 22/3 TD/INT ratio and 11.5 yards-per-attempt (3rd in the FBS).
Hes also working with a few of the getting teams in the country. The trio of JaMarr Chase, Justin Jefferson, and Terrace Marshall Jr. have combined for 19 touchdowns along with 73 receptions, with averages above 15 YPC for three.
Jefferson has great length using his 63 frame, and it has mastered in some huge games. Chase is an actual existence on the opposing side. Marshall Jr. will sit out until November with a foot injury, however, Derrick Dillon is a seasoned target that will fill the spot. Its all part of a passing game that has Burrow at a 78.4% completion percentage.
They will face by far the DB unit theyve played with throughout the year. Northwestern State is a FCS team, but here are the yards-per-attempt given up by the other opponents of LSU: Utah State 103rd, Texas 124th, Vanderbilt 128th, along with Georgia Southern 111th.
Though its safe to say they have yet to perform a QB of all the standard of Burrow, florida now sits at 33rd. They have played FCS QBs, a true freshman (Nix), a redshirt freshman making his first start (Jarren Williams, Miami), and Nevertheless, C.J. Henderson has been preseason All-American whos living up to his own billing. Shawn Davis generates a bunch of havoc in the secondary (111 yards on 3 INTs). Marco Wilson is a bit on spot, but still has a large ceiling as a cover guy.
Burrow will also confront a ominous pass-rush, which will be fully healthy for the first time because their 10 sacks versus Miami. Jabari Zuniga, believed to be their best pass-rusher coming in to this year, is coming back from injury. With him on one side and Jonathan Greenard (4.0 sacks/6.5 TKFL) across the flip side, LSUs 63rd-ranked sack rate in their o-line will be analyzed.
Ever since Kyle Trask substituted Feleipe Franks (ankle injury) since Floridas quarterback, the Gators have outscored opponents 115-16.
While his awareness have to enhance he has to get flustered by an opposing lineup. Auburns ranks 11th in line yards, and is the best in the country, according to Football Outsiders.
LSU is ranked 31st and can be 85th in bag speed. They will rely on blitzing LBs to help throw Trask. Even the Florida QB is confident in the pocket but is not portable outside of it. He also sprained a knee in the game and wore a leg brace when he reentered the game.
Together with the LBs involved in the pass-rush, All-American security Grant Delpit needs to come up big in policy. He likely will face off against a matchup nightmare in Florida TE Kyle Pitts (25 receptions). Neutralizing Pitts (65-240lbs, 4.6 40-yard dashboard ) is critical to LSUs success on D.
LSU–such as Floridas secondary–is often considered DBU for the talent they possess on their defenses perimeter. Derek Stingley Jr. is continuing this legacy with performances that should land him around the All-Freshman team, or even more, in 2019.
Will soon be Kristian Fulton, who enabled the least amount of downs out of returning FBS corners. Although this group is now 69th in passing yards allowed per-game, itll be given a chance against a driven Trask.
Balance is going to be crucial as ever for Florida, that has not got their running game this season, going however. A tackle broke at the point on his way . Despite that, the Florida o-line ranks 113th in line yards and will be going up against the No. 1 d-line concerning power achievement (short-yardage situations).
Even though the LSU front might not be powerful. But Florida only compiles 3.66 YPA around the ground, and that is including Perines long run and a 76-yard receiver sweep which closed from the Kentucky match.
When they dont buy Dameon or even Perine Pierce going it puts ways strain on Trask at a hostile environment.
Florida has earned respect after last week from the college football world. And while I do not expect them to come out with a win against LSU at Death Valley, I do see this game remaining nearer than many.
LSUs offense made strides, and Burrow is just one of the QBs from the FBS. However, LSU is not going to install 45 or anything near that against a defense whos known at all 3 levels. Their pass-rush has completely evolved with Greenard wreaking chaos.
Since the staff has relied on them, the Gators defense will work out with time. Marco Wilson is going to be the topic against Jefferson or the physical Chase.
However, I dont expect this. Keeping the match in a lot of a slog till afterward makes Florida the proper wager on Saturday.
Prediction: LSU (30) — Florida (20)
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August 31, 2018